Skip to main content
Monthly Archives

January 2025

Start 2025 Strong with These 5 Financial Wellness Tips!

By Financial Planning

The new year is here, which means a fresh start to be the best, healthiest version of yourself, but don’t limit that to just physical health. Make 2025 the year of prioritizing your financial wellness!

As we welcome 2025, it’s the perfect time to refocus on your health and set the tone for your year. Remember, wealth and health often go hand in hand. Use this time to take a closer look at your financial wellness and identify areas where you can grow, improve, and create a stronger foundation for your future. From doing a general review of your budget to revamping your portfolio, harness the momentum of the new year to help set yourself up for a financially successful and healthy 2025!

 

  1. Review Where Your Money is Going

Do you know where all your money is going? From small impulse buys to monthly bills, the start of the year is a great time to review your spending habits. Take a close look at your spending history to get a clear picture of where your money is going. To begin, think of your expenses as being in one of two groups: either needs or fun. For example, healthcare expenses would fall under needs, while a new wardrobe might fit into the fun category.

Next, break down your expenses into fixed, flexible, and discretionary costs. Fixed expenses are those that stay the same each month, like rent, mortgage, or insurance, while flexible (but necessary) expenses fluctuate, such as utility bills or groceries.

Discretionary costs can be decreased or increased. For instance, if you have necessary extra health or dental expenses for the month, you can choose to spend less on coffee or going out to eat. Remember to think about your life goals when you decide what is discretionary. If you have been putting only a small amount that’s left over each month into savings or retirement, consider changing that to have a fixed amount of savings deducted from your income before it ever hits your checking account.

This is also a great time to review your subscriptions to ensure they are still important to you as well as automatic payments to make sure there haven’t been any overlooked changes you need to rectify. Additionally, you may want to set up spending alerts on your accounts to help you monitor your finances throughout the year.

 

  1. Update Your Budget

Once you understand where your money is going, you can begin to determine your necessary monthly spending. Start by identifying your fixed expenses and calculating an average for your flexible and discretionary expenses to estimate your total essential monthly costs for the new year. You can input this information into a spreadsheet or your budgeting app of choice to compare it with your monthly income. Whether you rely on active income from work or retirement income sources such as 401(k)s, pensions, or Social Security, having a clear understanding of how much money you need to maintain your lifestyle is key.

Living within your means should be your biggest goal, and that may require taking an honest look at your spending habits and developing a strategy to better manage your income. By comparing your income streams to your budget and keeping savings and other financial goals in mind, you can create a sustainable plan for the year ahead.

 

  1. Have an Emergency Fund

Once your budget is set, ensure you have an emergency fund of liquid assets to cover at least three to six months of expenses. (Some people may want or need to have more than that, depending on their situation.) Your emergency fund should remain untouched unless needed for those necessary expenses. This will allow you some cushion during market downturns, unexpected expenses like a car breakdown, or hiccups in your income.

 

  1. Check-Up on Your Portfolio

Your portfolio can play a significant role in your overall financial plan, so it’s important to reassess its performance and consider any adjustments for the year ahead. Take some time to reflect on your goals and any planned life events for the upcoming year. While you can’t predict the future, you can evaluate what you expect the year may bring.

This assessment can influence your risk tolerance and guide decisions about diversifying your investments. If your current strategy doesn’t align with what you anticipate for the new year, now is the perfect time to rebalance your portfolio to help support your financial goals.

 

  1. Keep Your Goals in Mind

In everything you do, keep your goals at the forefront. Whether you’re aiming to build a nest egg for retirement, save for your child’s education, or leave a legacy for your loved ones, your financial strategy should reflect that. This is where strategic financial planning comes in.

For your bigger or more long-term goals, you may want to consider exploring strategies such as Roth conversions or charitable contributions to help with taxes, setting up 529 college savings plans for your children, or purchasing life insurance to create a tax-advantaged legacy for your loved ones. There are countless tools and strategies available, and the right ones for you will depend entirely on your unique situation and goals. By keeping your goals in mind with every financial decision you make this year, you’ll be supporting your long-term success.

 

Planning for the year ahead and the goals it entails can be stressful, but rest assured we’re here to help! If you need help with your financial wellness, give us a call! You can reach Bay Trust Financial at 813.820.0069.

 

Sources:

https://sfs.harvard.edu/financial-fitness-basics

https://solsticeseniorliving.com/financial-wellness-tips-for-seniors/

https://smartasset.com/investing/portfolio-management-tips

 

This material is provided as a courtesy and for educational purposes only. Please consult your investment professional, legal or tax advisor for specific information pertaining to your situation.

529 Plan, or “qualified tuition plan,” is an investment account that provides tax benefits when the savings are used for qualified education expenses. Withdrawals from a 529 plan account can be taken at any time, for any reason. But, if the money is not used for qualified education expenses, you will incur a 10% penalty and owe taxes on any investment gains.

 

Mitch Zacks – Weekly Market Commentary: Is the Fed Steering the U.S. Economy and Stock Market?

By Weekly Market Commentary

Are the U.S. Economy and Stock Market in the Fed’s Hands Now?

The Federal Reserve made some waves at the end of last year.

The 25 basis-point rate cut they announced at their December meeting was widely expected. What the market was not expecting, however, was the insinuation that rates may not necessarily follow the downward trajectory the Fed had previously projected. The one particular comment that jolted markets appeared to be when Chairman Jerome Powell said: “From here, it’s a new phase, and we’re going to be cautious about further cuts.”

Cautious about further rate cuts? Wasn’t the inflation fight largely won, with the benchmark fed funds rate destined to fall back to a neutral rate in the 3% to 3.5% range? The financial media and investor community were aghast at the news.

My advice to investors: do not overthink or overstate the importance of rate cuts in 2025. The economy and markets can do just fine with or without them.

Just take 2024 as your prime example. At the end of 2023, futures markets were forecasting six or more rate cuts for 2024, which turned out to be quite wrong. As it turned out, the Fed cut rates three times during the year, lowering the fed funds rate to a range of 4.25% to 4.5%. The economy and stock market did not seem to mind the ‘higher-for-longer’ level of rates, with GDP growth coming in strong and stocks rallying more than +20%.

If we know the economy and stock market can perform well even with the benchmark fed funds rate north of 4.5% or even 5%, then why would a 4% level of rates somehow be prohibitive to growth? Fed officials projected at the December meeting that rates would finish 2025 at 3.9%, which is one fewer cut than they had suggested at the September meeting. Investors who are up in arms over this news are missing the big picture, I think. I do not see 25 basis points in either direction as a very meaningful move.

The big debate in markets now is where the so-called “neutral rate” is for benchmark fed funds. The neutral rate is a moving target depending on economic conditions—it’s the rate of interest that sustains the economy at full employment with stable inflation. In other words, the interest rate that keeps the economy not too hot, and not too cold. If consumers and businesses are borrowing and spending too much, and inflation starts to tick higher again, it likely means rates are too low. If the jobs market is loosening and lending activity is tepid, rates may be too high.

If you want to know exactly where the Fed sees the neutral rate today, you will not get a clear answer from Chairman Powell. After the December meeting, he said: “We don’t know exactly where it is, but … what we know for sure is that we’re a hundred basis points closer to it right now.” Some Fed officials think it’s closer to 3%, some say it’s 4%. Perhaps it’s somewhere in between.

The point I’d repeat here is that I’m not sure the level of rates matters as much as many think. The idea that the U.S. economy and the stock market’s fate are in the Federal Reserve’s hands—and hinges on whether they get the neutral rate exactly right—is simply not substantiated by what we know from history, or even from 2024 for that matter. Interest rates remained ‘higher-for-longer’ all year, and stocks powered higher.

Monetary policy decisions are not meaningless, of course, but my argument here is that they are not as important as many investors assign them to be.

In my view, what would hurt markets most is if inflation and inflation expectations start to drift higher and become un-anchored from their current 2.5% to 3.5% level, perhaps because of some unforeseen shock in geopolitics or the global economy. If the Fed is forced to go in the other direction—raising rates instead of cutting them because of a negative inflation surprise—I think that could be very detrimental to stocks. For now, however, inflation data continues to show modest progress toward the Fed’s long-term goal. In November, the Fed’s preferred inflation gauge—the PCE price index—came in at 2.4% year-over-year, well within striking distance of the target.

Bottom Line for Investors

With inflation hovering near its target and the unemployment rate at 4.2%, there is little expectation that interest rates will go any higher. Whether or not they go lower, and by how much, is an ongoing debate. But it’s not one I think investors should be focused on. If you spend too much time framing your market and economic outlook around shifting expectations for interest rates, it may mean de-emphasizing stocks’ main driver—earnings growth.

By understanding 2024’s market surprises, you can unlock valuable insights to stay ahead and capitalize on opportunities in 2025.

DISCLOSURE

Past performance is no guarantee of future results. Inherent in any investment is the potential for loss.

Zacks Investment Management, Inc. is a wholly-owned subsidiary of Zacks Investment Research. Zacks Investment Management is an independent Registered Investment Advisory firm and acts as an investment manager for individuals and institutions. Zacks Investment Research is a provider of earnings data and other financial data to institutions and to individuals.

This material is being provided for informational purposes only and nothing herein constitutes investment, legal, accounting or tax advice, or a recommendation to buy, sell or hold a security. Do not act or rely upon the information and advice given in this publication without seeking the services of competent and professional legal, tax, or accounting counsel. Publication and distribution of this article is not intended to create, and the information contained herein does not constitute, an attorney-client relationship. No recommendation or advice is being given as to whether any investment or strategy is suitable for a particular investor. It should not be assumed that any investments in securities, companies, sectors or markets identified and described were or will be profitable. All information is current as of the date of herein and is subject to change without notice. Any views or opinions expressed may not reflect those of the firm as a whole.

Any projections, targets, or estimates in this report are forward looking statements and are based on the firm’s research, analysis, and assumptions. Due to rapidly changing market conditions and the complexity of investment decisions, supplemental information and other sources may be required to make informed investment decisions based on your individual investment objectives and suitability specifications. All expressions of opinions are subject to change without notice. Clients should seek financial advice regarding the appropriateness of investing in any security or investment strategy discussed in this presentation.

Certain economic and market information contained herein has been obtained from published sources prepared by other parties. Zacks Investment Management does not assume any responsibility for the accuracy or completeness of such information. Further, no third party has assumed responsibility for independently verifying the information contained herein and accordingly no such persons make any representations with respect to the accuracy, completeness or reasonableness of the information provided herein. Unless otherwise indicated, market analysis and conclusions are based upon opinions or assumptions that Zacks Investment Management considers to be reasonable. Any investment inherently involves a high degree of risk, beyond any specific risks discussed herein.

The S&P 500 Index is a well-known, unmanaged index of the prices of 500 large-company common stocks, mainly blue-chip stocks, selected by Standard & Poor’s. The S&P 500 Index assumes reinvestment of dividends but does not reflect advisory fees. The volatility of the benchmark may be materially different from the individual performance obtained by a specific investor. An investor cannot invest directly in an index.

The Russell 1000 Growth Index is a well-known, unmanaged index of the prices of 1000 large-company growth common stocks selected by Russell. The Russell 1000 Growth Index assumes reinvestment of dividends but does not reflect advisory fees. An investor cannot invest directly in an index. The volatility of the benchmark may be materially different from the individual performance obtained by a specific investor.

Nasdaq Composite Index is the market capitalization-weighted index of over 3,300 common equities listed on the Nasdaq stock exchange. The types of securities in the index include American depositary receipts, common stocks, real estate investment trusts (REITs) and tracking stocks, as well as limited partnership interests. The index includes all Nasdaq-listed stocks that are not derivatives, preferred shares, funds, exchange-traded funds (ETFs) or debenture securities. An investor cannot invest directly in an index. The volatility of the benchmark may be materially different from the individual performance obtained by a specific investor.

The Dow Jones Industrial Average measures the daily stock market movements of 30 U.S. publicly-traded companies listed on the NASDAQ or the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE). The 30 publicly-owned companies are considered leaders in the United States economy. An investor cannot directly invest in an index. The volatility of the benchmark may be materially different from the individual performance obtained by a specific investor.

The Bloomberg Global Aggregate Index is a flagship measure of global investment grade debt from twenty-four local currency markets. This multi-currency benchmark includes treasury, government-related, corporate and securitized fixed-rate bonds from both developed and emerging markets issuers. An investor cannot invest directly in an index. The volatility of the benchmark may be materially different from the individual performance obtained by a specific investor.

The ICE Exchange-Listed Fixed & Adjustable Rate Preferred Securities Index is a modified market capitalization weighted index composed of preferred stock and securities that are functionally equivalent to preferred stock including, but not limited to, depositary preferred securities, perpetual subordinated debt and certain securities issued by banks and other financial institutions that are eligible for capital treatment with respect to such instruments akin to that received for issuance of straight preferred stock. An investor cannot invest directly in an index. The volatility of the benchmark may be materially different from the individual performance obtained by a specific investor.

The MSCI ACWI ex U.S. Index captures large and mid-cap representation across 22 of 23 Developed Markets (DM) countries (excluding the United States) and 24 Emerging Markets (EM) countries. The index covers approximately 85% of the global equity opportunity set outside the U.S. An investor cannot invest directly in an index. The volatility of the benchmark may be materially different from the individual performance obtained by a specific investor.

The Russell 2000 Index is a well-known, unmanaged index of the prices of 2000 small-cap company common stocks, selected by Russell. The Russell 2000 Index assumes reinvestment of dividends but does not reflect advisory fees. An investor cannot invest directly in an index. The volatility of the benchmark may be materially different from the individual performance obtained by a specific investor.

The S&P Mid Cap 400 provides investors with a benchmark for mid-sized companies. The index, which is distinct from the large-cap S&P 500, is designed to measure the performance of 400 mid-sized companies, reflecting the distinctive risk and return characteristics of this market segment.

The S&P 500 Pure Value index is a style-concentrated index designed to track the performance of stocks that exhibit the strongest value characteristics by using a style-attractiveness-weighting scheme. An investor cannot directly invest in an index. The volatility of the benchmark may be materially different from the individual performance obtained by a specific investor.